{"id":4504,"date":"2025-05-27T13:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-05-27T10:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/agroperemoga.com.ua\/?p=4504"},"modified":"2025-10-07T15:50:51","modified_gmt":"2025-10-07T12:50:51","slug":"zovnishnya-torhivlya-zernovymy-tendentsiyi-ta-vyklyky-dlya-ahrariyiv-ukrayiny-u-travni-2025-roku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/agroperemoga.com.ua\/en\/zernovye-tendencies-and-risks-for-ukrainians-in-the-year-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud83c\udf3e\ud83d\udcc9\ud83d\udcc8 FOREIGN TRADE IN GRAIN: TRENDS AND CHALLENGES FOR UKRAINIAN FARMERS IN MAY 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure class=\"wp-block-audio\"><audio controls src=\"https:\/\/agroperemoga.com.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Ukrainska-torhivlia-zernom_-Traven-2025.mp3\"><\/audio><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:25px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>In a time of military challenges, global economic fluctuations and complex logistics, foreign trade in grain crops remains critical for Ukraine's agricultural sector \ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\udde6.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Grain is not only a source of foreign exchange earnings for the budget, but also the face of Ukraine on global agricultural markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on the current figures, let's try to understand the main market trends in the third week of May 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udcca Grain exports: a sharp decline<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ukraine's grain exports decreased by 42.2% from 16 to 22 May, down to 486 thsd tonnes, compared to the previous week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd39 Wheat: -57% (135.6 thousand tonnes)<br>\ud83d\udd39 Corn: -37% (345.9 thousand tonnes)<br>Barley: -50% (4.5 thsd tonnes)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The reasons for the decline were low competitiveness of products, weak demand from importers, and a general decline in trader activity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udcb5 Prices and market fluctuations: what's going on?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wheat: stable with a downward trend<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The milling wheat segment saw a moderate decline in demand. The average export price remained at 235 USD\/t, while CPT port prices were in the range of 200-210 USD\/t.<br>Supply from farmers remained weak, which partially restrained further price falls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udf3d\ud83d\udcb8Feed corn: weak demand and struggle for competitiveness<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Procurement <a href=\"https:\/\/agroperemoga.com.ua\/en\/the-season-of-korektsiyi-as-a-zminylys-tsiny-on-kukurudzu-and-pshenytsyu-in-ukrayini-and-shcho-tse-oznachaye-dlya-ahrariyiv\/\">corn prices<\/a> of the new crop fell to 192-201 USD\/t CPT port, i.e. 1-2 USD\/t lower than the previous week. Main factors of influence:<br>\u2714\ufe0f demand reduction<br>\u2714\ufe0f weak position in the foreign market<br>\u2714\ufe0f delayed activity on the part of farmers<br>However, at the end of the week there was a slight rise in prices due to the need for traders to cover contracts urgently.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Feed barley: strong demand amid uncertainty<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The barley market remained the most interesting. Due to steady demand from China and low carry-over stocks, interest in feed barley remained strong.<br>Although prices remained mostly declarative at 217 USD\/t CPT port, some traders offered as much as 10,000-10,100 UAH\/t in urgent need.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\ude9a Motor transport: new challenges and trends<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Grain exports by road increased by 34% over the week, indicating the search for new logistics solutions:<br>\u25aa\ufe0f Corn - +65% (1.8 thsd tonnes)<br>\u25aa\ufe0f Wheat - -30% (0.4 thsd tonnes)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd2e Forecast: what's next for the grain market?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udccc Wheat: no significant growth is expected as oversupply on the global market keeps prices down.<br>\ud83d\udccc Corn: further decline is possible due to weak external demand.<br>\ud83d\udccc Barley: there is a high probability of a price increase for the new harvest, given the shortage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2705 Adaptation and cautious optimism<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Ukrainian grain market is in a constant state of balancing between domestic pressure, global trends and logistical barriers. It is important for farmers to remain flexible and closely monitor the market, as even <a href=\"https:\/\/agroperemoga.com.ua\/en\/minimal-exports-for-agricultural-products-new-products-or-services-for-agricultural-producers-who-are-not-on-the-market\/\">minimal price fluctuations<\/a> can significantly affect profitability \ud83d\udcbc\ud83c\udf31.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udcdd The information was prepared based on APK-Inform data.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In May 2025, Ukrainian grain exports plummeted. What is happening on the market? Prices, demand, forecasts - read the latest agricultural analysis in our new article!<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4507,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[381],"tags":[388,594,21,401,455,486,386,348,569,596,595,570,593],"class_list":{"0":"post-4504","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-analytics","8":"tag-ahrarii-ukrainy","9":"tag-ahrarnyy-rynok","10":"tag-alla-stoianova","11":"tag-eksport-zerna","12":"tag-zernovi-kultury","13":"tag-zovnishnia-torhivlia","14":"tag-kukurudza","15":"tag-lohistyka","16":"tag-pshenytsia","17":"tag-traven-2025-analityka","18":"tag-furazhne-zerno","19":"tag-tsiny-na-zerno","20":"tag-iachmin"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.3 (Yoast SEO v27.2) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ 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